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Jamie Davis, Julia Letlow tied heading into Nov. 3 Senate election, new poll shows

Republican Julia Letlow (left) and Democrat Jamie Davis (right) won their party's runoff election on Saturday, June 27, 2026, and will face each other for Bill Cassidy's U.S. Senate seat in November.
Republican Julia Letlow (left) and Democrat Jamie Davis (right) won their party's runoff election on Saturday, June 27, 2026, and will face each other for Bill Cassidy's U.S. Senate seat in November.

Ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections, Louisiana has joined the ranks of solidly red states that are becoming more competitive, as a new poll shows Democrat Jamie Davis and Republican Julia Letlow tied in their U.S. Senate race.

Davis’s campaign commissioned the Hart Research poll, which shows the farmer from Tensas Parish tied at 45% with U.S. Rep. Letlow.

WWNO/WRKF reached out to both U.S. Senate candidates, asking them to answer questions on a number of hot-button issues.

The poll, which surveyed 500 likely Louisiana voters from October 28-29, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5%

“ It seems to demonstrate that Jamie Davis is doing quite well in a state where Donald Trump won with about 60% of the vote in the last presidential election,” Robert Hogan, LSU political science professor, said. “So this has to be very encouraging for the Democrats.”

Pundits thought the Senate race would be a cakewalk for Letlow — who has President Donald Trump’s endorsement. But Davis’ grassroots campaign is giving her a run for her money. Trump is holding a televised rally for Letlow on Monday (Nov. 2), ahead of Election Day.

If Davis wins, he’d be the first Black person to be elected to the U.S. Senate in Louisiana since Reconstruction.

NDAs have become a flashpoint in Louisiana politics, drawing criticism from voters on both the left and right. Will they play a role in the Nov. 3 election?

Before joining WRKF as the Capitol Access reporter, Brooke was the Assistant News Director at Louisiana Radio Network, where she also reported on statewide news and covered the state legislature.